UFC on FOX 16 Picks and Betting Game From The Secret Psychic Spy~!

By the Secret Psychic Spy (secretpsychicspy@yahoo.com)

Starting Bankroll: $1,500

Current Bankroll: $1,033.08

Last week: 3/5 Overall 68/119 (57%)

The biggest free show in a couple of years takes place tomorrow afternoon and evening on FOX, with 4 fights on Fight Pass preceding the 8 FOX fights. I’ve gone through the entire card and as usual have picked five fights in which there is value. The picks have been profitable the last several weeks after a bit of a rough patch. Especially the picks in the betting game, which is heating up. If you only pick two fights, I’d recommend my, as well as Freddy’s, weekly picks as they’ve been very profitable.

Pick 1 – Jessamyne Duke (3-2) +145 over Elizabeth Phillips (4-3) I’m betting $100 to win $145

Both ladies have struggled thus far in UFC but Duke does have a win. Duke has the obvious size advantage and should have a wrestling advantage as well, with new grappling coach Josh Barnett. One of Ronda’s Horsewomen has to win sometime, right? This should be the night.

Pick 2 – Jim Miller (24-6) -125 over Danny Castillo (17-8) I’m betting $100 to win $80

Both guys have lost 2 in a row. Miller is the favorite and for good reason. He’s one of the mainstays of the division and always has a great fight. He’s got way more experience and isn’t about to be stopped by Castillo. His relentless should wear out “Last Call”, leading to a win here for Miller.

Pick 3 – Ben Saunders (18-6-2) -120 over Kenny Robertson (15-3) I’m betting $100 to win $83.33

Two submission wins in a row for Killa Bee is about to become three. Whatever happens, I’d almost guarantee this will end in a finish but Saunders has looked spectacular since returning to the U. Saunders should break into the top 15 after taking the win here.

Pick 4 – Daron Cruickshank (16-6) -160 over James Krause (21-7) I’m betting $100 to win $62.50

I like Cruickshank, but this is more of a bet against Krause. If not for a freak injury to Jamie Varner, Krause would be on a four fight losing streak. He hasn’t looked particularly good either. I suspect an early KO win for the “Detroit Superstar”.

Pick 5 – Eddie Wineland (21-10-1) -140 over Bryan Caraway (19-7)

Wineland is a former title challenger, coming off a year plus layoff. He had a  KO loss in his last fight but I think he turns things around here against Kid Lightning aka Mr Miesha Tate. This is another one that should end early as it will likely be a Caraway submission or a Wineland KO.

All told, I’m betting $500 with a chance to win $442.26

On with the betting game.

2015 Betting Game: Secret Psychic Spy vs Ryan Frederick

Current Standings:

Ryan Frederick: $1,082.53 (Picked Leites, Lawler, Gordon, Hein, Alvarez, Ortega, Noons, Browne, Magny, Matthews)

Secret Psychic Spy: $1,470.18 (Picked Rivera, Samman, Bosse, Amirkhani, Henderson, Breese, Pyle, Wee, Andrews)

I increased my lead last week, although I personally thought that Leites won the fight with Bisping. Tough break for young Ryan. This week, I’m going with the underdog Jessamyne Duke for the reasons listed above.

Ryan’s pick:

I’m going Jessica Eye +185 over Miesha Tate. I’m surprised the line is this big and Eye is undervalued and will be an easy way to make money. Eye is better on the feet by far and if she can avoid the takedown, I can’t see Tate winning a striking battle at all. Tate really hasn’t been all that impressive since losing to Ronda Rousey in Strikeforce, winning fights made that she was supposed to win and winning a close fight where her opponent fought dumb in Sara McMann. Eye is an intelligent fighter who is looking to make a statement, and has a strong will to win. An underrated situation to point out is Tate is cornering her boyfriend, Bryan Caraway, earlier in the night, some two hours before she is supposed to fight. In my opinion, that is a dumb move as she should be relaxing and making final preparations in the locker room, but instead she’s taking 30-45 minutes out of her time and focusing it on someone else. Plus, if Caraway loses or loses badly, that will have to be on her mind. Eye wins this

Good luck, enjoy the fights and remember, don’t bet more than you can afford to lose and try to have fun with it!

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