UFC 191 Picks and Betting Game From The Secret Psychic Spy~!

By the Secret Psychic Spy (secretpsychicspy@yahoo.com)

Starting Bankroll: $1,500

Current Bankroll: $751.66

Last week (Aug 22): 3/5 Overall 78/139 (56%)

Small profit again last time out at UFC Saskatoon as I try to inch my way back to even. UFC is back on PPV this weekend with UFC 191. Playing it safe this weekend with all favorites so let’s take a look at which five picks I think have the best value on this show.

Pick 1 – Jan Blachowicz (18-4) -140 over Corey Anderson (5-1) I’m betting $100 to win $71.43

Blachowicz has the experience edge, having fought for years against top-level competition despite just making his UFC debut last year. His only UFC loss was to top 15 contender Jimi Manuwa. Anderson is coming off the first loss of his career, to Gian Villante (who was just knocked out by this site’s own Tom Lawlor). Go with experience here and Blachowicz.

Pick 2 – Nazarene Malegarie (30-3) -145 over Joaquin Silva (7-0) I’m betting $100 to win $68.97

Malegarie has been out of the spotlight for years, with his last high profile fight coming in 2012 for Bellator, where he lost to Rad Martinez. Since then he’s rung up 8 straight wins in South America and will make his UFC debut here after 8 years and 33 pro fights. Silva is also making his debut and is unbeaten with all finishes. Silva’s wins have been far less highly profiled and again, go with experience here.

Pick 3 – Clay Collard (14-6) -135 over Tiago Trator (19-5-1) I’m betting $100 to win $74.07

Collard’s had a rough start to his UFC career, going 1-2 but I think he’s prime here to turn that around and get back on the winning track. He was brought into UFC with a lot of hype and he was really impressive for Showdown fights. Trator is also coming off of a loss and it was a devastating KO at the hands of Mike de la Torre. I like Collard here.

Pick 4 – Andrei Arlovski (24-10) -155 over Frank Mir (18-9) I’m betting $100 to win $64.52

This is the real main event of tonight’s show for a lot of people. Arlovski’s been on a roll since returning to UFC with 3 straight wins. Mir has two straight wins of his own after a long losing streak. Arlovski has a title shot starting him in the face if he can get past Mir and I really think he will. I don’t think Mir will be able to withstand his power after a long career in the Octagon. One thing I’m virtually certain of is this fight will end quickly.

Pick 5 – Jessica Andrade (13-4) -210 vs Raquel Pennington (5-5) I’m betting $100 to win $47.62

This is the second fight for these two, with Andrade having won a split decision back in March of last year. Since then Andrade has won 2 of 3, including a decision over Sarah Moras in her last fight. Pennington has fought just twice with her most recent being a loss to Holly Holm in the co-main event of UFC 184. Andrade is more experienced and has fought a higher quality of fighters in her career. I think she marches up the contender list with a second straight win over Pennington here.

All told, I’m betting $500 with a chance to win $326.60

On with the betting game.

2015 Betting Game: Secret Psychic Spy vs Ryan Frederick

Current Standings:

Ryan Frederick: $1,082.53 (Picked Oliveira, Watson, Aguilar, Eye, Leites, Lawler, Gordon, Hein, Alvarez, Ortega, Noons, Browne, Magny, Matthews)

Secret Psychic Spy: $1,470.18 (Picked Stout, Salazar, Bruno, Duke, Rivera, Samman, Bosse, Amirkhani, Henderson, Breese, Pyle, Wee, Andrews)

We’re both on a losing streak with both of our guys losing quickly in Saskatoon. I will turn things around with my pick this week, Andrei Arlovski as he’ll make quick work of Frank Mir and allow me to retain my lead.

Ryan’s pick:

I’m going John Lineker -135 over Francisco Rivera Jr

Good luck, enjoy the fights and remember, don’t bet more than you can afford to lose and try to have fun with it!

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