AEW Double or Nothing estimated to finish in 130,000-135,000 PPV buy range

Last Sunday’s AEW Double or Nothing is estimated to finish between 130,000-135,000 pay-per-view buys by our Dave Meltzer’s best estimates.

That number could increase depending on the amount of late buys which helped bolster the final numbers for March’s Revolution PPV thanks to the buzz for top matches like the MJF vs. Bryan Danielson Iron Man bout. Based on the “ridiculous number” of late buys that show did, Meltzer didn’t see Double or Nothing matching that.

As first noted by Meltzer on Wednesday’s Wrestling Observer Radio and then again in this week’s Wrestling Observer Newsletter, both streaming buys through BR and FITE and linear buys were similar or virtually identical to Revolution.

Whatever the final number is, it will be down from last year’s 165,000 buys, helped by CM Punk going for his first AEW World title, the first-ever Anarchy in the Arena match, and the buzz surrounding whether MJF would appear for his match with Wardlow given the subsequent controversy when he skipped a Saturday autograph session and went radio silent to management.

The number will continue a range AEW has been falling in with their last four PPV offerings: June 2023’s Forbidden Door (140,000 range), September 2023’s All Out (140,000 range), November 2023’s Full Gear (140,000 range), and the aforementioned Revolution from this past March (145,000 range).

Meltzer also reported the show drew 10,550 fans (9000 paid/1550 comps) to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas for a gate of nearly $900,000. That would be under last year’s $1,000,00+ gate and attendance (14,459 total) in the same venue. Meltzer noted higher ticket prices contributed to the gate not dropping by that much.